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Green Deal

Great expectations run ahead of the reality

The Government trumpeted the Green Deal as its energy policy flagship. But some quiet backtracking is eroding companies’ confidence to invest.

There was no doubting the initial ambition of the Green Deal. “We are launching a revolution in energy efficiency,” said Chris Huhne, then Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, introducing the enabling legislation in 2010. “A once-in-a-lifetime refit of our outdated homes to make them fit for 2050.”

It is the Coalition’s energy policy flagship, itself regularly billed by his successor, Edward Davey, as his “number one policy priority.” His ministerial colleague, Greg Barker, adds that the majority of homes – some 14m – must be reached within the decade.

But lately there have been some really worrying signs that these ambitions are being seriously tempered. Initially subtly, increasingly overtly, the signals are being sent about lowering expectations regarding actual results.

By doing so, the Government is effectively setting a vicious circle to work, weakening the confidence of established companies, reducing the willingness of new players to invest.

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European Commission,European Union,VAT

VAT challenge could harm Green Deal prospects

Should energy-saving products be subject to the full 20 per cent rate of VAT? The UK and the European Commission are set to do battle in the courts

Next spring a case will be heard in the European Courts. The result could seriously damage the prospects for the government’s flagship Green Deal programme. This would increase the costs of installing many key energy-saving measures and by doing so, render many potential packages simply too expensive to undertake.

Under the Golden Rule, the costs of installing any package of improvements funded by Green Deal Finance must be capable of being repaid during the lifetime of the loan. To qualify, calculations are made, valuing potential consequent reductions in energy consumption at its present price against the costs of measures installed (plus interest). Monthly loan repayments must be more than matched by putative energy savings. If on paper this cannot be shown to be profitable to the householder, no loans will be able to be made.

If the European Court of Justice rules against the UK government, then the cost of installing a whole range of familiar energy-saving items – thermostatic radiator valves, microgeneration, and every kind of insulation installed by contractors – will increase overnight by a whopping 15 per cent. That includes the costs of installation, as well as the costs of materials.

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